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內(nèi)容簡介

　　內(nèi)容簡介羅伯特·W·科爾比的《證券市場技術分析百科全書》（原著第二版）由鄭三江、尹夢秋組織翻譯。該書以客觀的量化交易結果為依據(jù)，包括了100多種交易理念和技術指標，讀者可以直接查看交易系統(tǒng)的業(yè)績好壞。在證券市場投資決策中，交易者既需要熟悉市場基本面，又需要在把握買賣時點時使用市場技術指標。不同的交易者對技術指標的理解深度和廣度不同，使用方法也存在差異，其中少數(shù)精明的投資者會基于過去的市場行為評估技術指標，并確定指標參數(shù)，從投資中獲取超額收益。本書詳細回答了技術性策略需要考慮的因素、選取市場技術指標的方法和技巧以及如何構建指標體系并設計參數(shù)等。書中介紹了市場技術指標的優(yōu)點、指標回測方法與步驟以及交易系統(tǒng)的構建規(guī)則。特別地，系統(tǒng)介紹了一百多種市場技術指標，并對多數(shù)技術指標，通過可用歷史數(shù)據(jù)進行了回溯測試，展示出各指標的實際預測價值和優(yōu)缺點。讀者可以根據(jù)自己的需要，將適合的指標加入到適合自己的交易系統(tǒng)中，通過精確量化，找到特定的決策規(guī)則，實現(xiàn)利潤化和風險小化。

作者簡介

　　作者簡介作者：（美）羅伯特·W·科爾比美國大型金融服務集團公司CMT董事長兼首席投資策略師，市場技術分析師協(xié)會（MTA）成員，紐約大學和紐約金融學院的兼職教授。在創(chuàng)立CMT之前，科爾比曾在幾家華爾街大公司擔任自營交易員、技術分析師和基本面分析師，然后擔任機構、私人投資者和交易員的顧問，提供技術分析報告以及為客戶量身定制的研究服務和交易系統(tǒng)。在此過程中，他親眼目睹了各種大肆向公眾宣傳和兜售的“買入并持有”、“資產(chǎn)配置再平衡”等策略的巨大失敗。科爾比認為，投資者應該有一個更好的選擇，于是他創(chuàng)立了CMT，利用他經(jīng)受住時間考驗的研究，幫助投資者從傳統(tǒng)交易模式的失敗中恢復過來，并走向輝煌——無論股市處于牛市還是熊市背景。他的客戶包括世界上非常有名的成功交易員和投資者。多年來，科爾比撰寫了大量關于投資策略、研究方法、基本指標和圖表模式解釋的論文，發(fā)表在《福布斯》、《機構投資者》、《華爾街日報》、《投資者商業(yè)日報》等美國幾乎所有有影響力的專業(yè)媒體上。

圖書目錄

目錄
部分市場技術指標評價································ １
市場技術指標簡介································２
市場技術指標的前行模擬為跨時持續(xù)盈利提供可能··················７
找到適用你的市場技術指標··························２１
關于市場技術指標、模型及交易系統(tǒng)的其他觀點················３１
第二部分市場技術指標···························３９
廣量指標································４０
累積/派發(fā)線 (ＡＤ)·····························４４
累積擺動指標 (ＡＳＩ) ···························４７
自適應移動平均線 (ＡＭＡ) ·························５１
漲跌背離擺動指標 (ＡＤＤＯ) ························５２
漲跌線指標 (Ａ－Ｄ線)···························５２
非累積漲跌線: 休斯寬度動量擺動指標·····················５９
八個參數(shù)的百分比休斯寬度動量擺動指標····················６５
漲跌比率指標 ·······························６６
投資顧問情緒指標······························６９
ＡＤＸ (平均動向) ·····························７３
美國個人投資者協(xié)會調查 ··························７３
安德魯音叉線: 中線方法···························７４
阿姆斯的簡易波動指標 (ＥＭＶ) ·······················７９
阿姆斯的短線交易指數(shù) (ＴＲＩＮ，ＭＫＤＳ) ·················８２
阿隆指標，阿隆擺動指標···························９１
占星術，天文周期的金融應用·························９７
占星術，長期周期·····························１０１
平均動向指標 (ＡＤＸ) ··························１０２
平均真實波幅·······························１０２
黑箱系統(tǒng)·································１０３
布林線··································１０３
布林帶寬指標·······························１０９
博爾頓—特倫布萊指標···························１１０
括括弧，括弧，動態(tài)括弧··························１１１
寬度漲跌比指標: 寬度沖力·························１１２
好友指數(shù) ································１１７
看漲—看跌美元價值流向線 (ＣＰＦＬ) ···················１１９
看漲—看跌美元價值比率 ·························１２３
看漲—看跌期權費比率 ··························１２６
看漲—看跌期權成交量比率·························１３０
蔡金的資金流指標·····························１３３
錢德動量擺動指標 (ＣＭＯ) ························１３４
統(tǒng)計顯著性卡方檢驗····························１３７
熔斷、每日價格限制、停牌、交易限制··················１３９
多重技術指標組合·····························１４０
交易商持倉報告······························１４１
商品期貨通道指標 (ＣＣＩ) ························１４２
商品期貨通道指標穿越零: 零值ＣＣＩ ···················１４５
商品期貨選擇指標 (ＣＳＩ) ························１４９
信心指標·································１５３
反向意見: 逆向思維投資藝術························１５４
估波曲線 (估波指南) ···························１５５
累計凈值線································１６２
累積成交量指標······························１６３
時間和價格周期······························１６３
數(shù)據(jù)時間和價格周期····························１７５
數(shù)據(jù)探索、數(shù)據(jù)挖掘時間和價格周期····················１７６
月內(nèi)之日時間和價格周期··························１７６
周內(nèi)之日·································１８５
十年形態(tài)、十年周期···························１９０
ＤＥＭＡ·································１９５
需求指標 (ＤＩ) ·····························１９５
背離停損，凱斯自適應性背離停損······················１９６
帝納波利點位，斐波那契盈利目標······················１９６
動向指標 (ＤＭＩ) ····························１９９
較低的平均動向 (ＡＤＸ): 暴風雨前的平靜··················２０３
背離分析·································２０４
唐奇安的四周規(guī)則·····························２０７
雙指數(shù)移動平均線 (ＤＥＭＡ) ·······················２０７
道氏理論·································２１１
鄧尼根的單向公式·····························２４１
鄧尼根的沖力方法·····························２４１
有效市場假說·······························２４２
艾爾德射線································２４２
終點移動平均線 (ＥＰＭＡ) ························２４３
包絡線、移動平均包絡線和交易帶·····················２４３
凈值下降比率·······························２４７
探索性數(shù)據(jù)分析······························２４７
指數(shù)移動平均線 (ＥＭＡ)，指數(shù)平滑移動平均線 ···············２４７
斐波那契數(shù)列，斐波那契周期························２５６
強力指數(shù)·································２６１
傅里葉分析: 快速傅里葉變換························２６１
基金凈申購指數(shù)······························２６５
ＣＳＩ永久合約期貨滾動算法·······················２６６
期貨合約: 到期月份和符號·························２６７
江恩角··································２６８
江恩九方圖································２７２
通用汽車充當市場領頭羊股票························２７４
格羅斯三一指數(shù)······························２７８
霍蘭指數(shù)·································２７９
哈里克獲利指標······························２８３
高動量交易系統(tǒng)······························２８６
高低點邏輯指數(shù)······························２８７
興登堡兇兆································２８８
圣杯指標·································２８９
鉤形指標·································２８９
假設檢驗·································２９０
指標季節(jié)———艾爾德概念·························２９０
指標季節(jié)———科爾比變量·························２９１
指標季節(jié)———科爾比變量指標策略舉例···················２９１
慣性指標·································２９９
內(nèi)部人賣出/買入比率···························２９９
市場間背離································３０６
日內(nèi)交易、當日交易、日內(nèi)價格行為····················３０６
一月份晴雨表·······························３１０
一月份效應································３１４
一月份前五日: 一個 “早期預警” 系統(tǒng)···················３１５
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